NFL odds, picks for Week 17: Proven computer model loving Bengals and Ravens

Week 17 brings enormous challenges for bettors as they wrestle with the possibility of teams resting starters. The Cowboys are 5.5-point underdogs against the Giants in the latest Week 17 NFL odds, and they are one of several teams with tough calls to make on Sunday. They’ve claimed the NFC East, but can’t move up in seeding. The Saints (-7) against the Panthers is another game on the Week 17 NFL schedule that could be heavily affected since New Orleans has already wrapped up the top seed in the NFC and head coach Sean Payton has announced that MVP candidate Drew Brees will sit out. With NFL odds and lines swinging as news breaks, be sure to check out the latest Week 17 NFL picks and predictions from SportsLine’s proven computer model. 

SportsLine’s proprietary computer model went 176-80 straight-up last season and beat over 95 percent of CBS Sports Office Pool players in 2016 and ’17. It also performed better than 98 percent of experts tracked by NFLPickWatch.com during that span. Additionally, it went 48-34 on A-rated picks against the spread last season, and $100 bettors who have followed it the past two seasons are up nearly $4,000. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

The model has continued to nail its top-rated picks in 2018, entering Week 17 on a blistering 16-6 run. For the season, it is now 30-15 on all top-rated picks, extending its two-year run to a strong 78-49. And when it comes to all straight-up picks, the model is 159-78 on the season, ranking in the top five on NFLPickWatch.com. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now it has examined the latest Week 17 NFL odds and lines, simulated every snap 10,000 times, and its Week 17 NFL picks and predictions are in. One of the top Week 17 NFL picks the model recommends: the Ravens (-5.5) cover the spread against the Browns as they look to wrap up the AFC North. 

Baltimore’s Week 16 win over the Chargers, coupled with the Steelers‘ loss to the Saints, put the Ravens in control of their own destiny in the division entering the final week of the regular season. Even against a much-improved Cleveland team, the model projects the Ravens roll to a decisive win that covers the spread in almost 60 percent of simulations. The Over (40.5) also has plenty of value because that hits in well over half of simulations.

Another one of the Week 17 NFL predictions from the model: the Bengals (+14.5) cover against the division-rival Steelers in the game with the largest line of the week. In fact, it’s one of the largest NFL spreads of the entire season.

Pittsburgh is in the playoffs with a win over the Bengals and a Baltimore loss to Cleveland. The model says the Steelers win straight-up in 79 percent of simulations, but covering this massive spread is a much different story. 

The Steelers are preparing to play without star running back James Conner (ankle), who is highly questionable. And even though Jaylen Samuels has been impressive filling in, Pittsburgh has lost four of its last five games overall and only has three wins all season of more than 14 points. The model projects Bengals running back Joe Mixon to account for close to 100 yards of offense as the Bengals cover in almost 60 percent of simulations. The over (45.5) also has plenty of value because that hits almost 70 percent of the time. 

The model also has a strong pick for the season-defining matchup between the Colts and Titans, and is calling for a Super Bowl contender to go down hard this weekend, shaking up the NFL playoff picture forever.

What NFL picks can you make with confidence in Week 17? And which Super Bowl contender goes down hard? Check out the latest NFL odds below and then visit SportsLine to see which NFL teams are winning more than 50 percent of simulations, all from the model that has beaten 98 percent of experts over the past two years.

Dallas Cowboys at New York Giants (-5.5, 41)
Carolina Panthers at New Orleans Saints (-7, 42.5)
New York Jets at New England Patriots (-13.5, 46.5)
Detroit Lions at Green Bay Packers (-8, 44.5)
Jacksonville Jaguars at Houston Texans (-6.5, 40)
Atlanta Falcons at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+1.5, 52)
Miami Dolphins at Buffalo Bills (-5.5, 39.5)
Philadelphia Eagles at Washington Redskins (+6.5, 41.5)
Cleveland Browns at Baltimore Ravens (-5.5, 40.5)
Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers (-14.5, 45.5)
Chicago Bears at Minnesota Vikings (-5.5, 40.5)
Los Angeles Chargers at Denver Broncos (+6, 42)
Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks (-13, 38.5)
San Francisco 49ers at Los Angeles Rams (-10, 48.5)
Oakland Raiders at Kansas City Chiefs (-14, 52.5)
Indianapolis Colts at Tennessee Titans (+3.5, 43.5)

http://bit.ly/2Luz0Gr

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

Week 15 NFL odds, picks: Packers beat Bears to keep playoff hopes alive, Patriots demolish Steelers

Image
We’re halfway through December and every game is must-win from here until, well, the Super Bowl. In the AFC, five teams are within 1.5 games of the sixth-seed Ravens . In the NFC, meanwhile, the Vikings are playing some of their worst football of the year but they remain in the final wild-card spot. Whether that holds will be determined, in part, by what the Panthers , Eagles , Redskins and Packers can do in the coming weeks. Alright, let’s get to all the games — and the playoff implications — below. LAST WEEK: 10-6-0 OVERALL RECORD : 130-76-2 Stream Thursday’s game and all of Sunday’s games  on fuboTV , try it for free, and stream the CBS games  on CBS All Access .    Los Angeles Chargers at Kansas City (-3.5) Thursday, 8:20 p.m. ET (Fox/ NFL Network)  The Chiefs are coming off arguably their toughest win of the season, an overtime affair at home against one of the league’s best defenses. And while the Ravens harassed Patrick Mahomes for much of the afternoon, he stil
Read more

Packers’ Randall Cobb shares scary details of recent concussion: ‘I didn’t know where I was’

Image
Late during the Packers ‘ season-ending loss to the Bears two weeks ago, receiver Randall Cobb  endured a hard hit from Bears safety Eddie Jackson  after making a key catch on third down. After immediately popping up onto his feet, Cobb remained on the field for the remaining three plays of the series, which concluded with Jackson picking off Aaron Rodgers to effectively end the game and officially end Rodgers’ historic interception-less streak. We later learned that Cobb suffered a concussion on the play, which forced him to miss the Packers’ Week 16 game against the Jets .  Ahead of the Packers’ season finale against the Lions , which could be Cobb’s final game with the Packers , Cobb spoke about the concussion for the first time, sharing scary details about how the injury impacted his memory. “I didn’t know where I was,” Cobb said Thursday, per The Athletic’s Josh Tolentino. “I didn’t remember the three plays that happened before that. I had no clue about the interception unti
Read more

LeBron James’ first trip to Brooklyn as a Laker reminds us of what could have been if he had taken his talents to New York

Image
NEW YORK — It was steaming hot in the visitors’ locker room at the Barclays Center. That’s what happens when you jam a whole bunch of people into a pretty small place. The game wouldn’t start for another couple of hours, but the cameras were already on, and those cameras — more than a dozen of them — were trained on perhaps the greatest athlete of his generation, and perhaps the greatest NBA player of all time. But LeBron James wasn’t talking to the media. Shootaround had been canceled in the morning, and that’s when LeBron typically does his pregame media sessions. The Los Angeles Lakers public relations department had said that LeBron wasn’t going to be doing any interviews during the half hour before the game that their locker room was open to the press, but that didn’t stop the dozen cameras and three dozen reporters from filling the visitors’ locker room to the gills. The media surrounded LeBron in a semi-circle. He stretched. He used a foam roller to loosen his muscles. The
Read more