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2019 Super Bowl odds: Simulations say title likely coming down to Saints, Rams, Patriots and Chiefs

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Last week was, to put it mildly, a weird week for simulations to try to comb through. The Ravens lost to the Chiefs for their first “L” in four weeks, but it wasn’t a “bad” loss per se. The Patriots lost on a miracle lateral that works one out of 100,000 times. The Saints beat the Buccaneers but didn’t look particularly clean in doing so. And the Rams lost to the Bears in a game that their offense would undoubtedly very much like to forget. And those are just some of the contenders. Beyond that, the Texans had their winning streak snapped, the Chargers had a less-than-emphatic win over the Bengals , and the Steelers and Panthers both continued their respective slides. As such, the Saints saw a significant jump in their percentages, almost by default. It took them a half to get going against the Bucs, but a win is a win. The Rams took a hit to their simulation odds, as did the Patriots, but as always it’s looking like a four-team race, with the Saints, Rams, Chiefs and Pat...
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The Angels have tweaked their hot stove approach as they try to build a better supporting cast around Mike Trout

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Whoever coined the term “Man plans, God laughs” wasn’t referring to the Angels ‘ starting rotation. It only seems that way. No team has been more snakebitten by injuries and other pitching adversity lately than the Halos have. Garrett Richards was one of the hardest throwers in baseball, a supremely talented right-hander on his way to a career year in 2014 before a late-August knee injury wrecked the rest of his season. He tore his ulnar collateral ligament two years later, missed most of that season, opted not to have Tommy John surgery, missed most of the following season with a nerve injury in his right biceps, then ended up having the surgery in the end last season. Now he’s a Padre. Matt Shoemaker looked like a rising star himself in 2014, going 16-4 with a 3.04 ERA and a six-to-one strikeout-to-walk rate, good enough to nab second place in Rookie of the Year voting. After a bumpy 2015, he rebounded to post a fresh set of solid peripheral numbers in 2016, fanning nearly fiv...
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Dodgers-Reds trade: MLB prospect expert weighs in on Jeter Downs, Josiah Gray

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Earlier Friday, the Los Angeles Dodgers and Cincinnati Reds agreed to a blockbuster trade that saw Yasiel Puig , Alex Wood , Matt Kemp , and Homer Bailey swap sides. Cash and prospects Josiah Gray and Jeter Downs also changed hands, making this a whopper of a deal . To make sense of it, we asked prospect expert Christopher Crawford of Rotoworld for his thoughts on the trade and the youngsters involved. You can follow Crawford on Twitter here . Do you think the Dodgers received enough in return? I’m torn here. On the surface, I think this is a bit light for players of Puig and Wood’s talent, even if they are free agents at the end of the 2019 season. I certainly don’t think this is a rip-off, especially considering the financial implications here, but I would imagine that if the Reds do deal Puig and/or Wood at the deadline if they’re not in contention, they’ll get at least one prospect better than what they gave up. What is the book on Josiah Gray? Gray is a second-round pi...
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